Friday, July 04, 2014

Sabermetrically speaking, Dom Brown is the worst offensive player on the Phillies



Dom Brown has the worst sabermetric numbers on the Phillies, but is he the worst player on the team?



I've got to preface this headline by saying that I don't put too much credence into sabermetrics, that is of course complicated baseball equations that measure your overall worth of a baseball player to a team. The numbers don't speak well of Domonic Brown this year with the Phillies if you're a believer in such sabermetric numbers.

If fact, Dom Brown is at the bottom of the list in most measurements that are supposed to show baseball greatness. Take this first one, with stats up to July 4th 2014, it is called WAR, or wins above replacement player or more simply put a number of wins that this player adds to a team other than a player from the minors would.



Name Age G PA WAR ▾ Salary Acquired
Chase Utley* 35 81 357 2.5 $15,000,000 Amateur Draft
Jimmy Rollins# 35 81 359 1.9 $11,000,000 Free Agency
Marlon Byrd 36 84 348 1.8 $8,000,000 Free Agency
Carlos Ruiz (7-day dl) 35 66 273 1.6 $8,500,000 Free Agency
Wil Nieves (15-day dl) 36 14 57 0.6 $1,125,000 Free Agency
Cody Asche* 24 54 191 0.4 Amateur Draft
John Mayberry 30 58 128 0.3 $1,587,500 Traded
A.J. Burnett 37 16 38 0.2 $15,000,000 Free Agency
Cole Hamels* 30 14 31 0.2 $22,500,000 Amateur Draft
Antonio Bastardo 28 36 1 0.1 $2,000,000 Amateur Free Agent
Cliff Lee (15-day dl)* 35 8 19 0.1 $25,000,000 Free Agency
Mario Hollands* 25 30 0 0.0 Amateur Draft
Jonathan Papelbon 33 32 0 0.0 $13,000,000 Free Agency
Jake Diekman* 27 38 0 0.0 Amateur Draft
Ken Giles 23 9 0 0.0 Amateur Draft
B.J. Rosenberg 28 10 0 0.0 Amateur Draft
Mike Adams (60-day dl) 35 19 0 0.0 $7,000,000 Free Agency
Aaron Altherr (40-man) 23 2 5 0.0 Amateur Draft
Phillippe Aumont (40-man)* 25 2 0 0.0 Traded
Ethan Martin (40-man) 25 2 0 0.0 Traded
Luis Garcia (40-man) 27 3 0 0.0 Free Agency
Cesar Jimenez* 29 2 0 0.0 Free Agency
Brad Lincoln* 29 2 0 0.0 Traded
Andres Blanco# 30 1 0 0.0 Free Agency
Shawn Camp 38 2 0 0.0 Free Agency
Justin De Fratus# 26 21 1 0.0 Amateur Draft
Jeff Manship (15-day dl) 29 16 2 -0.0 Free Agency
Jayson Nix 31 18 43 -0.0 Purchased
Jonathan Pettibone (40-man)* 23 2 2 -0.0 Amateur Draft
Sean O'Sullivan 26 1 2 -0.0 Free Agency
Ben Revere* 26 76 306 -0.1 $1,950,000 Traded
Ryan Howard* 34 83 357 -0.1 $25,000,000 Amateur Draft
Darin Ruf (40-man) 27 7 11 -0.1 Amateur Draft
Koyie Hill# 35 4 11 -0.1 Traded
Cameron Rupp 25 5 17 -0.1 Amateur Draft
David Buchanan 25 8 16 -0.2 Amateur Draft
Ronny Cedeno 31 7 9 -0.2 Free Agency
Roberto Hernandez 33 18 31 -0.2 $4,500,000 Free Agency
Kyle Kendrick 29 16 37 -0.2 $7,675,000 Amateur Draft
Reid Brignac (15-day dl)* 28 24 74 -0.3 Free Agency
Cesar Hernandez# 24 46 101 -0.5 Amateur Free Agent
Tony Gwynn* 31 59 110 -0.6 Free Agency
Freddy Galvis (40-man)# 24 16 46 -0.9 Amateur Free Agent
Domonic Brown* 26 81 311 -1.4 Amateur Draft
Team Total 31.4 1174 3294 4.5 $168,837,500
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 7/4/2014.


Here's another measurement of sabermetrics call RAA, or Runs this player is better then the average player, again Brown is in last place if that means anything:

Name Age G PA RAA ▾ Salary Acquired
Chase Utley* 35 81 357 14 $15,000,000 Amateur Draft
Marlon Byrd 36 84 348 8 $8,000,000 Free Agency
Jimmy Rollins# 35 81 359 8 $11,000,000 Free Agency
Carlos Ruiz (7-day dl) 35 66 273 8 $8,500,000 Free Agency
Wil Nieves (15-day dl) 36 14 57 4 $1,125,000 Free Agency
A.J. Burnett 37 16 38 2 $15,000,000 Free Agency
Cole Hamels* 30 14 31 2 $22,500,000 Amateur Draft
Antonio Bastardo 28 36 1 1 $2,000,000 Amateur Free Agent
Cliff Lee (15-day dl)* 35 8 19 1 $25,000,000 Free Agency
Mike Adams (60-day dl) 35 19 0 0 $7,000,000 Free Agency
Aaron Altherr (40-man) 23 2 5 -0 Amateur Draft
Phillippe Aumont (40-man)* 25 2 0 0 Traded
Andres Blanco# 30 1 0 0 Free Agency
Shawn Camp 38 2 0 0 Free Agency
Justin De Fratus# 26 21 1 0 Amateur Draft
Jake Diekman* 27 38 0 0 Amateur Draft
Luis Garcia (40-man) 27 3 0 0 Free Agency
Ken Giles 23 9 0 0 Amateur Draft
Mario Hollands* 25 30 0 0 Amateur Draft
Cesar Jimenez* 29 2 0 0 Free Agency
Brad Lincoln* 29 2 0 0 Traded
Jeff Manship (15-day dl) 29 16 2 -0 Free Agency
Ethan Martin (40-man) 25 2 0 0 Traded
Sean O'Sullivan 26 1 2 -0 Free Agency
Jonathan Papelbon 33 32 0 0 $13,000,000 Free Agency
Jonathan Pettibone (40-man)* 23 2 2 -0 Amateur Draft
B.J. Rosenberg 28 10 0 0 Amateur Draft
Cody Asche* 24 54 191 -1 Amateur Draft
David Buchanan 25 8 16 -1 Amateur Draft
Koyie Hill# 35 4 11 -1 Traded
John Mayberry 30 58 128 -1 $1,587,500 Traded
Jayson Nix 31 18 43 -1 Purchased
Darin Ruf (40-man) 27 7 11 -1 Amateur Draft
Ronny Cedeno 31 7 9 -2 Free Agency
Roberto Hernandez 33 18 31 -2 $4,500,000 Free Agency
Kyle Kendrick 29 16 37 -2 $7,675,000 Amateur Draft
Cameron Rupp 25 5 17 -2 Amateur Draft
Reid Brignac (15-day dl)* 28 24 74 -5 Free Agency
Cesar Hernandez# 24 46 101 -7 Amateur Free Agent
Tony Gwynn* 31 59 110 -8 Free Agency
Ben Revere* 26 76 306 -8 $1,950,000 Traded
Freddy Galvis (40-man)# 24 16 46 -9 Amateur Free Agent
Ryan Howard* 34 83 357 -9 $25,000,000 Amateur Draft
Domonic Brown* 26 81 311 -20 Amateur Draft
Team Total 31.4 1174 3294 -32 $168,837,500
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 7/4/2014.


And that isn't all of the stats that don't speak too well of Dom Brown in this season so far. Personally I don't think he's been as bad as these Sabermetric numbers say, but the numbers speak for themselves and for some reason, he is at the bottom.

Here's a stat called WAA, or Wins Above Average Player, the amount of wins added to a team from a player rather than the average player. With the last two stats, you can see Ryan Howard right near the bottom of the list as well along with Brown, so it seems Brown has some company in these not so good sabermetric stats.

Name Age G PA WAA ▾ Salary Acquired
Chase Utley* 35 81 357 1.4 $15,000,000 Amateur Draft
Jimmy Rollins# 35 81 359 0.8 $11,000,000 Free Agency
Carlos Ruiz (7-day dl) 35 66 273 0.8 $8,500,000 Free Agency
Marlon Byrd 36 84 348 0.7 $8,000,000 Free Agency
Wil Nieves (15-day dl) 36 14 57 0.4 $1,125,000 Free Agency
A.J. Burnett 37 16 38 0.2 $15,000,000 Free Agency
Cole Hamels* 30 14 31 0.2 $22,500,000 Amateur Draft
Antonio Bastardo 28 36 1 0.1 $2,000,000 Amateur Free Agent
Cliff Lee (15-day dl)* 35 8 19 0.1 $25,000,000 Free Agency
Jake Diekman* 27 38 0 0.0 Amateur Draft
Mario Hollands* 25 30 0 0.0 Amateur Draft
Jonathan Papelbon 33 32 0 0.0 $13,000,000 Free Agency
Mike Adams (60-day dl) 35 19 0 0.0 $7,000,000 Free Agency
Ken Giles 23 9 0 0.0 Amateur Draft
B.J. Rosenberg 28 10 0 0.0 Amateur Draft
Phillippe Aumont (40-man)* 25 2 0 0.0 Traded
Andres Blanco# 30 1 0 0.0 Free Agency
Shawn Camp 38 2 0 0.0 Free Agency
Justin De Fratus# 26 21 1 0.0 Amateur Draft
Luis Garcia (40-man) 27 3 0 0.0 Free Agency
Cesar Jimenez* 29 2 0 0.0 Free Agency
Brad Lincoln* 29 2 0 0.0 Traded
Ethan Martin (40-man) 25 2 0 0.0 Traded
Aaron Altherr (40-man) 23 2 5 -0.0 Amateur Draft
Jeff Manship (15-day dl) 29 16 2 -0.0 Free Agency
Sean O'Sullivan 26 1 2 -0.0 Free Agency
Jonathan Pettibone (40-man)* 23 2 2 -0.0 Amateur Draft
Darin Ruf (40-man) 27 7 11 -0.1 Amateur Draft
John Mayberry 30 58 128 -0.1 $1,587,500 Traded
David Buchanan 25 8 16 -0.2 Amateur Draft
Koyie Hill# 35 4 11 -0.2 Traded
Jayson Nix 31 18 43 -0.2 Purchased
Cameron Rupp 25 5 17 -0.2 Amateur Draft
Ronny Cedeno 31 7 9 -0.2 Free Agency
Roberto Hernandez 33 18 31 -0.2 $4,500,000 Free Agency
Kyle Kendrick 29 16 37 -0.2 $7,675,000 Amateur Draft
Cody Asche* 24 54 191 -0.3 Amateur Draft
Reid Brignac (15-day dl)* 28 24 74 -0.6 Free Agency
Cesar Hernandez# 24 46 101 -0.8 Amateur Free Agent
Tony Gwynn* 31 59 110 -1.0 Free Agency
Freddy Galvis (40-man)# 24 16 46 -1.1 Amateur Free Agent
Ben Revere* 26 76 306 -1.1 $1,950,000 Traded
Ryan Howard* 34 83 357 -1.2 $25,000,000 Amateur Draft
Domonic Brown* 26 81 311 -2.4 Amateur Draft
Team Total 31.4 1174 3294 -5.4 $168,837,500
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 7/4/2014.

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