Thursday, March 29, 2012

Keeping Cole: Should the Phillies pursue Hamels?

Hamels on the mound for the Phils, but for how much longer?




Would re-signing Cole Hamels to a longer term contract make sense for the Phillies now?

The Phillies are finding themselves in a curious position of keeping a pitcher that has been a Phillie since he came into the league and who came up in the Phillies minors.

We would probably have to go back to Brett Myers to find the previous pitcher of a somewhat same caliber as being classified as an ‘ace’ that the Phillies will have to make a decision to either try to re-sign him or possibly trade him.

Hamels does have the 2008 World Series MVP to his credit, but has he really accomplished all that much over the past couple seasons? He is a pitcher with great skills and a lot of offer, but let's look at what he's done in his career so far.


Year W L W-L% ERA G GS CG SHO IP H R Awards
2006 9 8 .529 4.08 23 23 0 0 132.1 117 66
2007 15 5 .750 3.39 28 28 2 0 183.1 163 72 AS,CYA-6
2008 14 10 .583 3.09 33 33 2 2 227.1 193 89
2009 10 11 .476 4.32 32 32 2 2 193.2 206 95
2010 12 11 .522 3.06 33 33 1 0 208.2 185 74
2011 14 9 .609 2.79 32 31 3 0 216.0 169 68 AS,CYA-5
6 Yrs 74 54 .578 3.39 181 180 10 4 1161.1 1033 464
162 Game Avg. 14 10 .578 3.39 34 34 2 1 219 195 87
Generated 3/29/2012.


Let's look at the first 10 years of Steve Carlton's career numbers:



Year Tm W L W-L% ERA GS GF CG SHO IP Awards
1965 STL 0 0 2.52 2 5 0 0 25.0
1966 STL 3 3 .500 3.12 9 0 2 1 52.0
1967 STL 14 9 .609 2.98 28 1 11 2 193.0
1968 STL 13 11 .542 2.99 33 1 10 5 232.0 AS
1969 STL 17 11 .607 2.17 31 0 12 2 236.1 AS
1970 STL 10 19 .345 3.73 33 0 13 2 253.2
1971 STL 20 9 .690 3.56 36 0 18 4 273.1 AS
1972 PHI 27 10 .730 1.97 41 0 30 8 346.1 AS,CYA-1,MVP-5
1973 PHI 13 20 .394 3.90 40 0 18 3 293.1
1974 PHI 16 13 .552 3.22 39 0 17 1 291.0 AS
24 Yrs 329 244 .574 3.22 709 13 254 55 5217.2
162 Game Avg. 15 11 .574 3.22 33 1 12 3 245
W L W-L% ERA GS GF CG SHO IP Awards
PHI (15 yrs) 241 161 .600 3.09 499 0 185 39 3697.1
STL (7 yrs) 77 62 .554 3.10 172 7 66 16 1265.1
MIN (2 yrs) 1 6 .143 8.54 8 3 0 0 52.2
SFG (1 yr) 1 3 .250 5.10 6 0 0 0 30.0
CLE (1 yr) 5 9 .357 5.37 14 3 3 0 109.0
CHW (1 yr) 4 3 .571 3.69 10 0 0 0 63.1
NL (22 yrs) 319 226 .585 3.11 677 7 251 55 4992.2
AL (3 yrs) 10 18 .357 5.64 32 6 3 0 225.0
Generated 3/29/2012.


Now keep in mind that most of what Carlton did to get himself into the Hall of Fame actually happened after his 10th year of pitching, he was like a machine. There are similarities in both Carlton and Hamels mannerisms and peculiarities. Carlton went on to pitch 24 years in the majors, and was perhaps the greatest Phillies pitcher ever.

Does Cole have it in him to kick it up a notch? Can he follow in the footsteps of greatness that Carlton earned in the Philly pinstripes?

The kind of money they are throwing at starting pitchers is the problem for the Phillies, there may be teams that would bid up Hamels' worth, but will the Phillies want to match it? 

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