Monday, September 15, 2014

Pap gets 7 gamer for grab

Jonathan Papelbon grabs the wrong spot after getting booed by the fans for blowing the game on Sunday




 How often have we seen 'the grab' by a baseball player?

Chances are quite often, especially when a player is at bat, but what Jonathan Papelbon did on his way to the dugout was just an expression of being exasperated. He lost the lead in the 9th inning and heard lusty boos and probably a few good choice comments and tried to give the rude bunch something to think about.





Now Papelbon's actions will cost him a 7 game suspension handed down from the MLB. Yes, the 'adjustment' just couldn't be explained by Papelbon and he did go to far, but that's Papelbon. And yes, I know that Rap singers do this all of the time without fear of such retribution, but this is baseball and rude is rude.








He's the Phillies closer for a reason and most closers march to the beat of a different drummer. We must remember that he made an announcement that Phillies fans were also 'smarter' than his previous team the Boston Red Sox, so he shouldn't be that roasted for this.



 Remember "Pat The Bat" and the imfamous finger he gave to the opposite dugout during game? That didn't happen in the age of 'instant replay' so it was quickly forgotten by the baseball establishment. How about Chase Utley with his comment on National TV that was recorded from his All-Star Game, he said, "Boo ... F**k You", and also caused a stir after the Phillies won the World Series in '08 with his "World F**king Champions" statement.


Yes, we express ourselves quite a bit here in Philly, but this one by Pap crossed the line.



Papelbon losses game, gets tossed in process



 Pap protests to no avail to the ump that saw his obscene gesture towards the stands after he was booed when he gave up the lead to the Marlins in the 9th






You never know what's going to happen in the world of Jonathan Papelbon.


He's kept somewhat under the radar in recent months, but that has all changed yesterday in Philadelphia after he blew the lead that the Phillies had, he walked off the mound to a round of boos and then made an obscene gesture into the stands (adjusted his cup demonstratively as he walked to the dugout).

Pap then got thrown out of the game, he protested to the ump who had no sympathy for him.


Paps been like a bad penny for the Phillies, he plays fairly well, but he's not worth the extra baggage.

Saturday, September 13, 2014

Asche isn't ready to be an understudy just yet






The Phillies brought Maikel Franco up this year to see how he looks at third base, and he hasn't looked all that bad.

Where does that leave Cody Asche though? As far as he knew, this was his spot on the Phillies and now suddenly there looks to be some dissension among the Phillies management on who will play third for this team.

Asche delivered a win last night with a long home run to right field in extra innings.

Asche has been quietly on fire for the Phils lately, he came into last night's game with a .324 batting average in his last 11 games.

Last night's HR by Asche was his first career walk-off, and his 16th as a Phillies player. 11 of his 16 total HR's have been hit in Philadelphia. 

15 Million reasons why AJ Burnett wasn't the right choice for the Phillies





AJ Burnett was going to retire at the conclusion of last season. Maybe for this year's Phillies he should have made good on that promise.

Burnett was lured away from retirement with a great deal from the Phillies. He gets to play closer to his Maryland home and gets a nice $15M plus from the Phillies in the first year, and the chance to return next year at about the same deal including his signing bonuses.

But was this signing the best move for the Phillies?

Let's start out with the way Burnett has been pitching this year. He's having his worst season ever for a full season as a professional pitcher. The only other time he's lost as many games during a full season was when he was with the NY Yankees in 2010 and he lost 15 games.

Burnett's record stands at 8-16 this season with the Phillies. That's 16 losses that he's been tagged with in this season that has been a complete and utter failure on all accounts with this team. Before I get a lot of mail saying "you can't tell how good a pitcher is by his record" type of emails, let me continue.

Here's some stats on Win Probability, naturally the (-) negative numbers aren't good. Burnett has seemed to turn in those negative numbers in bunches with the Yankees and now this year's Phillies team.

Year Age Tm PtchR PtchW WPA/LI Clutch RE24/boLI
1999 22 FLA 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 -0.0
2000 23 FLA -2.5 -0.2 0.1 -0.0 0.8
2001 24 FLA 5.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 6.0
2002 25 FLA 15.3 1.6 2.6 -0.5 26.0
2003 26 FLA -1.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -2.4
2004 27 FLA 7.7 0.8 1.4 -0.3 16.1
2005 28 FLA 8.1 0.8 1.5 -0.9 12.4
2006 29 TOR 8.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 3.4
2007 30 TOR 13.8 1.4 1.5 0.5 15.3
2008 31 TOR 3.9 0.4 0.7 0.3 9.2
2009 32 NYY 13.1 1.3 0.9 -0.1 10.1
2010 33 NYY -19.0 -1.8 -3.3 1.2 -34.2
2011 34 NYY -15.6 -1.5 -2.4 0.9 -24.4
2012 35 PIT 5.9 0.6 0.5 0.6 5.4
2013 36 PIT 3.4 0.4 1.0 -0.6 9.4
2014 37 PHI -15.8 -1.6 -1.4 -0.3 -16.3
16 Yrs 31.9 3.3 3.4 2.2 36.7
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/13/2014.


Burnett has been a player that has careered an aura about him. When he won a World Series with the Marlins and Yankees, his legend grew. His career record speaks differently though. His overall record as a pitcher is just a few games above .500 now for wins/losses but he's made over $135M over his career and a 4.02 ERA averaged out.

Here's Burnett's career record:

Year Age Tm W L W-L% ERA Awards
1999 22 FLA 4 2 .667 3.48
2000 23 FLA 3 7 .300 4.79
2001 24 FLA 11 12 .478 4.05
2002 25 FLA 12 9 .571 3.30
2003 26 FLA 0 2 .000 4.70
2004 27 FLA 7 6 .538 3.68
2005 28 FLA 12 12 .500 3.44
2006 29 TOR 10 8 .556 3.98
2007 30 TOR 10 8 .556 3.75
2008 31 TOR 18 10 .643 4.07
2009 32 NYY 13 9 .591 4.04
2010 33 NYY 10 15 .400 5.26
2011 34 NYY 11 11 .500 5.15
2012 35 PIT 16 10 .615 3.51
2013 36 PIT 10 11 .476 3.30
2014 37 PHI 8 16 .333 4.34
16 Yrs 155 148 .512 4.02
162 Game Avg. 13 12 .512 4.02
FLA (7 yrs) 49 50 .495 3.73
NYY (3 yrs) 34 35 .493 4.79
TOR (3 yrs) 38 26 .594 3.94
PIT (2 yrs) 26 21 .553 3.41
PHI (1 yr) 8 16 .333 4.34
NL (10 yrs) 83 87 .488 3.73
AL (6 yrs) 72 61 .541 4.39
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/13/2014.

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

Phils release 2015 schedule





It's been a fairly dismal season for the Phils. They've been playing a little better lately with some more wins but the team still sits in last place, where they've been for much of the season this year.

Well, there's always next year...

The Phillies released the 2015 schedule yesterday. It's about the earliest I remember seeing a schedule for the next season being released. I suppose we're all just supposed to forget about this season and think ahead.

It's an early version of the schedule so check back on it from time to time, for updated start times and other changes.



Friday, September 05, 2014

Weekend in Washington



Stephen Strasburg hasn't been the stellar pitcher at times that we has been in recent years.




The Phillies are in Washington DC for the final time of the season to face the first place Nationals.

The tides have changed from just a few years ago when these two teams were reversed, the Nationals used to be a last place team, now they are in first.

The Nationals have one of the best strikeout to walk ratios in baseball this year, in fact, the 2014 Nats currently have the best strikeout to walk ratios in the NL ever since 1900.

In the first game of the series, the Phils will face Stephen Strasburg. He'll face a pitcher for the Phillies who has 3 wins and has a 2.03 ERA in his first few games with the team, Jerome Williams.

One of the most impressive stats by the Nats so far this year is when they score 4 or more runs, they have a 66-8 record. They are just 13-51 when a team can keep them to 3 runs or less.

The Phils can start to earn some respect from the Nats if they come in and continue to play the way they have been playing. 

Believe it or not, the Phillies are now only 8.5 GB from a wild card spot, if they can come in and sweep this Washington series, who knows? At the very least they will start to make it interesting if this were the case.

Thursday, September 04, 2014

WAR what is it good for? Howard vs Schmidt career WAR numbers



Mike Schmidt and Ryan Howard from October 31, 2009 in the World Series vs. the New York Yankees






The Phillies hired a sabermetrics guy this year, but so far we haven't seen too much of what he's been doing. There hasn't been too much talk in the press about the Phillies using sabermetrics all that much either.

Let's look at two of the Phillies best ever power hitters: Mike Schmidt and Ryan Howard. How is their WAR numbers looking for each player?

Incidentally, WAR is a calculation of wins that this player is supposed to contribute to a team instead of a replacement player


Here's Mike Schmidt: (sorted by best years of WAR)

Year Age Tm G WAR ▾ Salary Pos Awards
1974 ★ 24 PHI 162 9.7 $35,000 *5 AS,MVP-6
1980 ★ 30 PHI 150 8.8 $560,000 *5 AS,MVP-1,GG,SS
1977 ★ 27 PHI 154 8.8 $560,000 *5/64 AS,MVP-10,GG
1976 ★ 26 PHI 160 8.0 $120,000 *5 AS,MVP-3,GG
1979 ★ 29 PHI 160 7.9 $560,000 *5/6 AS,MVP-13,GG
1981 ★ 31 PHI 102 7.7 $560,000 *5 AS,MVP-1,GG,SS
1975 25 PHI 158 7.7 $65,000 *56 MVP-16
1982 ★ 32 PHI 148 7.4 $1,533,333 *5 AS,MVP-6,GG,SS
1984 ★ 34 PHI 151 7.0 $2,023,208 *5/36 AS,MVP-7,GG,SS
1983 ★ 33 PHI 154 6.8 $1,785,670 *5/6 AS,MVP-3,GG,SS
1978 28 PHI 145 6.2 $560,000 *5/6 GG
1986 ★ 36 PHI 160 6.1 $2,136,666 *53 AS,MVP-1,GG,SS
1987 ★ 37 PHI 147 6.1 $2,127,333 *5/36 AS,MVP-14
1985 35 PHI 158 5.0 $2,130,300 35/6
1973 23 PHI 132 1.9 $15,000 *5/436
1988 38 PHI 108 1.8 $2,250,000 5/3
1972 22 PHI 13 0.1 $13,500 5/4
1989 ★ 39 PHI 42 -0.4 5 AS
18 Seasons 2404 106.5 $17,035,010
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/3/2014.


Pretty impressive is Schmidt, it's easy to see how he is a Hall of Famer, not only was he a League MVP over his career for 3 seasons, his WAR numbers reflect very few 'bad' years. Take not of the salary that Schmidt earned too, he earned a lot of money for the time, but my how times have changed when it's in relation to baseball salaries.


Here's Ryan Howard's WAR numbers, again sorted from best years of WAR:


Year Age Tm G WAR ▾ Salary Pos Awards
2006 ★ 26 PHI 159 5.2 $355,000 *3 AS,MVP-1,SS
2009 ★ 29 PHI 160 3.8 $15,000,000 *3/D AS,MVP-3
2005 25 PHI 88 3.1 3 RoY-1
2007 27 PHI 144 2.9 $900,000 *3/D MVP-5
2008 28 PHI 162 1.8 $10,000,000 *3/D MVP-2
2010 ★ 30 PHI 143 1.2 $19,000,000 *3/D AS,MVP-10
2011 31 PHI 152 1.2 $20,000,000 *3/D MVP-10
2013 33 PHI 80 0.8 $20,000,000 3
2004 24 PHI 19 0.3 /3
2014 34 PHI 131 -0.9 $25,000,000 *3/D
2012 32 PHI 71 -1.2 $20,000,000 3
11 Seasons 1309 18.1 $130,255,000
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/3/2014.


You can see by the comparison of WAR numbers, at least in this category,  it shows the differences in what each player meant to the Phillies team. Howard's best WAR year was 2006, for a brief stretch of 3 seasons between 2006-2008, it seemed if Howard would hit 700 HR's and then he trailed off. By WAR numbers, Howard is having his second worse season along with his worst season, 2012.

Let's take a look at one of the best player ever in the game with his WAR numbers, Micky Mantle as a comparison with Schmidt and Howard:

Year Age Tm G WAR ▾ Salary Pos Awards
1957 ★ 25 NYY 144 11.3 $60,000 *8 AS,MVP-1
1956 ★ 24 NYY 150 11.2 $32,000 *8 AS,MVP-1
1961 ★ 29 NYY 153 10.5 $70,000 *8 AS,MVP-2
1955 ★ 23 NYY 147 9.5 $25,000 *8/6 AS,MVP-5
1958 ★ 26 NYY 150 8.7 $65,000 *8 AS,MVP-5
1954 ★ 22 NYY 146 6.9 $21,000 *8/649 AS,MVP-15
1959 ★ 27 NYY 144 6.6 $70,000 *8 AS,MVP-17
1952 ★ 20 NYY 142 6.5 $10,000 *O89/5 AS,MVP-3
1960 ★ 28 NYY 153 6.3 $60,000 *8 AS,MVP-2
1962 ★ 30 NYY 123 5.9 $90,000 *89 AS,MVP-1,GG
1953 ★ 21 NYY 127 5.3 $17,500 *O8/976 AS,MVP-22
1964 ★ 32 NYY 143 4.8 $100,000 *879 AS,MVP-2
1967 ★ 35 NYY 144 3.9 $100,000 *3 AS
1966 34 NYY 108 3.5 $100,000 8/7 MVP-19
1963 ★ 31 NYY 65 2.9 $100,000 8 AS
1968 ★ 36 NYY 144 2.6 $100,000 *3 AS
1965 ★ 33 NYY 122 1.8 $100,000 7 AS,MVP-25
1951 19 NYY 96 1.5 $7,500 O9/8
18 Seasons 2401 109.7 $1,128,000
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/3/2014.


Mantle really never had a 'bad' year according to his WAR numbers. He too was a 3-time MVP player along with numerous 2nd place finishes in the MVP race. Schmidt and Mantle have nearly identical totals with G and WAR total numbers.

Lastly, let's look at the newest player on the baseball diamond that has taken the baseball world by storm over the past 3 seasons. That of course Mike Trout, what are his numbers for WAR?

Mike Trout's WAR numbers (sorted from best years) shows that he's already a quarter to the total WAR numbers put up by Schmidt and Mantle in his first 3 full seasons and 2014 isn't over yet. He was called up in 2011 by the Angels as a 19 year old rookie. When was the last time we saw a rookie that age for the Phillies?

Year Age Tm G WAR ▾ Salary Pos Awards
2012 ★ 20 LAA 139 10.8 *87/9 AS,MVP-2,RoY-1,SS
2013 ★ 21 LAA 157 8.9 $510,000 *87/D AS,MVP-2,SS
2014 ★ 22 LAA 133 6.6 $1,000,000 *8/D AS
2011 19 LAA 40 0.7 897/D
4 Seasons 469 26.9 $1,510,000
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/3/2014.